LUMEN
For Higher Education
An academic intelligence platform

Light on every student.

Your data already knows who's at risk. Lumen tells your faculty in time to act.

Built by
Procimo and two academic researchers
Awarded
HETL Dubai 2025
Lumen · For Higher Education · 2026
The opening problem

Higher education has data. It does not have intelligence.

Every modern university collects more student data than it can read. Most of it serves administration. Almost none of it reaches the people making pedagogical decisions, in time to act.

Lumen · For Higher Education · 2026
The Discovery

We looked at one university's data. What we found could not be unseen.

A Portuguese university gave us 33 years of academic records, sociodemographic data, and questionnaire responses across 10,397 students. We didn't go in looking for a product. We went in to listen.

This is the first number we found.

More followed.
49 %
of students had considered dropping out at least once. Faculty couldn't see them. The data could.
Lumen · For Higher Education · 2026
What the data revealed

Six findings nobody had read.

The first year already knows who will finish.
Graduates leave year one with 14.7 units passed, 96% approval, average 13.1. Dropouts leave with 8 units, 72%, average 10. First-year variables predict the final outcome over 90% of the time.
Where students live with predicts how they finish.
Household composition correlates +0.41 with failures and −0.38 with completion. The student's home situation travels with them across every semester.
Overdue units are the earliest warning sign.
Students who repeatedly thought about dropping out carry 2.8 overdue units on average. The rest carry 0.7. A four-fold gap, statistically clear.
Gender shows up in the data, consistently.
Female students average 13.1 versus 12.2 for male. Fewer attempts per unit, fewer failures. The pattern holds across every programme analysed.
Faculty had continuous assessment wrong for years.
Students rate it 4.72 out of 5. Of 138 surveyed, 130 prefer it over final exams. The institution had assumed the opposite.
Students don't blame difficulty. They blame teaching.
Pedagogical methods are the top self-reported cause of failure, named in 14.3% of student responses. A signal pointed at course design, not student ability.
Lumen · For Higher Education · 2026
What you're not measuring

A number most universities don't have.

Most universities can't answer this with one number. Tuition lost. Completion-tied funding gone. Ranking exposure. Alumni base eroded. Each lives in a different system, calculated by a different team, if calculated at all.

Lumen does not compute that number for you. It tells you who you're about to lose, while you can still act on it.

Most universities don't compute this. They write it off.
The dropout your finance team writes off
Tuition × years remaining
+
Completion-tied funding
+
Ranking exposure
+
Alumni base eroded
=
?
Now multiply by every cohort, every year, since you started counting.
Lumen · For Higher Education · 2026
Your number

Now compute yours.

Four inputs. The math is plain. Adjust the left-hand side to your reality, the right-hand side updates immediately. Most institutions never compute this number. The ones that do tend to invest differently in retention.

%
years
What it costs you
Dropouts per year 420
Cost of one dropout €2,788
Total cost, this year's dropouts €1,170,960
Saving of cutting dropouts by
€111,520
This is the conservative read: tuition plus completion-tied funding only. Ranking exposure, alumni base, and recruitment cost-per-acquisition would push the number higher.
Lumen · For Higher Education · 2026
From reactive response to predictive intervention

What if every faculty member could see what the data sees?

Not raw tables. Not BI dashboards built for finance. A working interface designed around pedagogical decisions, validated by the people who'd actually use it. That's what we built next.

Lumen · For Higher Education · 2026
What Lumen is

An intelligence layer for academic decisions.

Lumen reads the data your institution already collects. It turns it into a working interface for faculty, course coordinators, and academic leadership. Risk signals, individual student narratives, cohort trajectories, completion forecasts.

Module 01
University Universe
A live dashboard of your student universe. Counts of enrolled students, at risk, dropouts, transitions, in one view. Geographic map of where they come from and where they live. The first screen faculty open on a Monday morning.
Module 02
Entry Prediction
Risk profiles at the start of the course. Built from sociodemographic factors and course-level history. Surfaces students at entry, not at the end of semester one.
Module 03
Academic Progress
Curricular trajectory: approval rate, delay, units completed. Cohort segmentation by real academic history, not by the labels on the application form.
Module 04
Individual Profile
Semester-by-semester timeline. Risk indicators. Completion prediction. The single feature professors valued most in validation interviews.
Lumen · For Higher Education · 2026
Inside the platform

What faculty actually see.

LUMEN UNIVERSE ENTRY PROGRESS INDIVIDUAL Prof. Coelho ▾ 4291 Student profile Hospitality Management · Year 2 · Continuous assessment Medium risk overdue units rising SEMESTER TIMELINE S1 5/6 passed Avg 13.4 S2 6/6 passed Avg 14.1 S3 4/6 passed Avg 11.8 S4 3/6 passed 2 overdue S5 In progress S6 Predicted RISK INDICATORS Overdue units rising Average drop S3 → S4 Attendance stable COMPLETION PREDICTION (XAI) 66% predicted completion in 4 semesters Based on 142 similar trajectories from the last 33 years. COHORT COMPARISON Among 142 students who matched this profile at the same point in their programme 94 completed within 4 semesters · 31 within 6 · 17 did not complete APPROVAL TREND S1 → S4 · approval rate %
The signal
Two semesters in, the data already says something. Overdue units rising, average mark dropping. A reason to start a conversation, not a verdict.
The prediction
Gradient-boosted ensemble trained on 142 similar trajectories from the last 33 years. Explainable: faculty see why, not just what.
The narrative
One screen. One student. A semester-by-semester story the professor can carry into a meeting that same afternoon.
Lumen · For Higher Education · 2026
The Proof

Validated. Awarded. Working.

Excellent
FCT final evaluation rating. The Portuguese national science foundation rated the project at the top tier on conceptual framework, execution, and impact.
HETL 2025
Higher Education Teaching & Learning Award, Dubai. Recognised for contribution to teaching and learning in higher education.
84.3
System Usability Scale, classified "Good". Above the 80-point threshold faculty productivity tools typically miss.
30
Faculty engaged across requirements interviews, task-based evaluations, and validation sessions. Endorsement: unanimous.
10,397
Students analysed across all academic programmes. Real institutional data, not synthetic samples.
33 yrs
Of academic records integrated into a single analytical framework. Longitudinal at a depth most institutions have never queried.

"Lumen could be a framework, not just a platform. A replicable model for the application of AI in higher education systems."

FCT Final Evaluation, April 2026
Lumen · For Higher Education · 2026
What faculty said

Thirty faculty. Every finding unanimous.

Across requirements interviews, task-based evaluations, and validation sessions, faculty surfaced the same five things about Lumen. No splits. No caveats. No deterministic readings.

30/30
Risk visibility
Made patterns and individual cases visible that would have passed unnoticed in normal teaching.
30/30
Pedagogical narrative
Every faculty member built coherent stories about individual students from the profile view.
30/30
Trigger for action, never punitive
Used for conversation, follow-up, pedagogical adjustment. Zero faculty used the platform to penalise.
30/30
Useful at the start of the semester
For framing classes, anticipating difficulties, supporting initial diagnostics, while intervention still has time to work.
30/30
Ethical sensitivity
No faculty read the data deterministically. All thirty required dialogue and context before acting. Lumen is built to support that judgement, not replace it.
Lumen · For Higher Education · 2026
How Lumen was built

Four steps. Stakeholder-driven. Internationally validated.

Method presented at HETL 2025 in Dubai. The same four steps run end-to-end on every new institutional deployment.

01
Characterise the student body
Secure ETL. Anonymised star schema. Exploratory data analysis. Key finding from the first deployment: sociodemographic variables outpredict entry grades.
02
Listen to faculty
Semi-structured interviews. Needs surfaced: cohort clustering, explainability of indicators, separation between Entry Prediction and Academic Progress.
03
Design iteratively
Five functional blocks. Figma mockups, then a working prototype. Tested with stakeholders at each iteration.
04
Validate rigorously
Task-based evaluation, SUS, semi-structured interviews. SUS 84.3 ("Good"). Utility: unanimous. Deterministic readings: zero.
Lumen · For Higher Education · 2026
Proprietary technology

Built specifically for this. Not adapted from anything generic.

Lumen's models, dashboards, and data layer were built from first principles for academic intelligence. Not a BI tool with a coat of paint. Not a learning analytics dashboard rebadged. A platform engineered for the decisions universities have to make.

Proprietary models
Trained for academic risk.
Ensemble models built specifically for retention and completion prediction. Recalibrated on your institution's history at deployment. Explainable by design. Every risk score traces back to the features that produced it.
Purpose-built interface
Designed for faculty decisions.
Every screen, every indicator, every visualisation was tested with faculty in semi-structured interviews and task-based evaluation. Not a generic BI dashboard, not a tool for data scientists.
Production-grade
Built for institutional scale.
GDPR-native. Role-based access. Audit-trailed. Cloud-native architecture ready for any institution's compliance, security, and scale requirements. Already deployed and running.
Lumen · For Higher Education · 2026
A framework, not a one-off

A Portuguese university was the first deployment. Yours could be the next.

Lumen was designed from day one to redeploy across institutions. The data structures it reads are common across European, North American, and Latin American universities. The ML models recalibrate on your historical records. The interface localises.

Lumen · For Higher Education · 2026
Why Lumen replicates

Four properties that make Lumen portable.

Uses data you already have

Built for SIS structures that exist in every modern university. No new collection. No new survey. Connect, ingest, recalibrate.

GDPR by design

Authenticated access by role. Anonymisation at the data layer. Each faculty member sees only their courses and units. Audit trails for everything.

Modular and re-calibratable

ML models retrain on your institution's history. Dashboards adapt to your course taxonomy. Visualisations to your language and conventions.

Validated with real faculty

Not an academic prototype. Task-based evaluation, SUS, qualitative interviews with 30 faculty over real semesters. SUS 84.3.

Lumen · For Higher Education · 2026
A typical pilot

From kickoff to validated insight in one semester.

01

Connect your data

Map your SIS to Lumen's star schema. Secure ETL. Anonymisation at the data layer. Quality profiling.

2 to 4 weeks
02

Recalibrate the models

Retrain the ensemble model on your historical academic records. Validate against known outcomes.

3 to 6 weeks
03

Tailor the interface

Localise course taxonomy, language, indicator names. Adapt the dashboards to your institutional context.

2 weeks
04

Onboard faculty

Two or three pilot programmes. Hands-on sessions with the professors and coordinators who'll use it.

1 week
05

Run a semester

Real students. Real cohort. Faculty interacting with the platform across the semester. Mid-pilot and end-of-pilot review.

One semester
Lumen · For Higher Education · 2026
What it gives back

Two views. One source of truth.

Lumen routes different signals to the rector's office than to the faculty member. The data layer is shared. The dashboards are role-aware. The student at the centre is the same.

For Rectors & Provosts
Retention, defended.
  • One retention number for the whole institution, sourced from one place
  • Risk hotspots, programme by programme, before each semester starts
  • Evidence behind every resource allocation conversation
  • Accreditation and funder KPIs generated, not assembled
For Deans & Course Directors
Every Monday, ready.
  • The students at risk in your courses, before the first overdue unit
  • Cohorts segmented by who students are now, not by the application form
  • What's failing, where, and for whom, every semester
  • A defensible reason to talk to a student, before grades come in
Lumen · For Higher Education · 2026

Retention is a decision. Your data already has the answer.

Your next dropout is already in your dataset. Lumen finds them while you can still act.

Lumen · For Higher Education · 2026
Next step

Let's see if Lumen fits your institution.

A 30-minute call to walk through your student information system, the retention questions your faculty actually ask, and what a one-semester pilot would look like at your university. We come prepared. You leave with an honest answer either way.

Book a 30-minute call

Team and origin

Guilherme Fontes
CEO, Procimo. Platform engineering, data infrastructure, deployment.
José Coelho, PI
PhD Computer Science, LaSIGE / ULisboa. HCI, Usability, Information Systems.
Diogo Lima, Co-PI
PhD Computer Science, LaSIGE / ULisboa. Distributed Computing, Fog, ML.
Procimo
Tech partner. Platform engineering, data infrastructure, deployment.
Built under FCT 2024.07476.IACDC · 2025 to 2026